Publications
Ian Hoyt, Moustapha Nour Ayeh, Aisha Al-Sarihi, Dheaya Alrousan, Muez Ali, Nathalie Peutz and Alden Young
Items insights from the social sciences. 2022.
The article in PDF format is available here.
Abstract
In May 2018, after months of drought, Cyclone Sagar formed in the Gulf of Aden between the Arabian Peninsula and the Horn of Africa. Reaching a high wind speed of 120 km/hr., the extreme weather event took lives, destroyed homes, and ruined crops in communities across Yemen, Somaliland, Djibouti, and Ethiopia. The westernmost tropical cyclone on record in the North Indian Ocean, Sagar was also the strongest tropical storm ever recorded in Somalia—until Cyclone Gati struck Yemen and the Horn of Africa in November 2020. In October 2021, Cyclone Shaheen entered the Gulf of Oman and made landfall in northern Oman, the first cyclone to do so since 1890. Meanwhile, extreme rainfall in the Horn of Africa caused devastating floods, affecting more than three million people in Sudan in September 2020 and impacting more than 700,000 people in South Sudan by October 2021. This was the worst flooding that the region has seen in 60 years.
Dheaya Alrousan, Nathalie Peutz, Alden Young, Muez Ali, Aisha Al-Sarihi, Moustapha Nour Ayeh, and Dany El-Obeid
EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-12206.
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-12206.
The article in PDF format is available here.
Public perception represents a critical factor in people's engagement and support for climate change adaptation and mitigation actions. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the perceptions of youth and their willingness to engage in climate change actions in Lebanon and another six countries in the Red Sea arena (Jordan, Djibouti, Sudan, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Saudi Arabia (KSA), and Yemen) by integrating socio-cultural, experiential, cognitive, and sociodemographic as explanatory factors. By employing a mixed-methods approach, 2788 young people aged 18 to 35 years were surveyed using a standardized questionnaire. Key findings reveal significant inter-country differences at all levels. For instance, among the Red Sea countries, Saudi Arabia reported the lowest willingness to act, with an average score of 44.2%, while Sudan recorded the highest, with an average score of 58.7%. Youths from all countries in this study demonstrated moderate to low levels of knowledge about climate change causes, impacts, and impacts of responses, with an overall average score of 47%. The findings revealed that only 26% of participants received formal climate change education, predominantly as elective courses during their study. For the explanatory factors, value orientations were found to influence willingness to act strongly. Biospheric and socio-altruistic values were positively correlated with behavioral willingness, while egoistic values had a weaker or non-significant correlation. Social norms, particularly prescriptive norms, were found to be strong predictors of willingness, underscoring the role of societal pressure in shaping climate-related behaviors. Mitigation response inefficacy (i.e., the belief that actions are ineffective) was negatively correlated with behavioral willingness, highlighting a critical barrier to engagement. Gender, age, level of education, and receiving climate change education were significant predictors of willingness to act, with higher education levels and prior exposure to climate change education correlating with increased willingness. Experience with extreme weather events (EWEs) also shaped behavioral willingness, with those exposed to such events reporting a higher willingness to act. The study identifies critical encounters, including gaps in climate education and the influence of socioeconomic factors on willingness to engage in climate actions. It underscores the need for tailored interventions that address regional disparities and leverage value orientations and social norms to promote climate action among youth. Policies should prioritize integrating climate change education into formal curricula and fostering community-based initiatives to enhance societal and personal willingness to engage in mitigation efforts. Addressing perceived inefficacy through targeted campaigns can also bolster youth participation in climate action.
Abstract
Moustapha Nour Ayeh, Ismaël Abdillahi Guirreh
Alternative Rurals, 11-2025
https://doi.org/10.60569/11-a2
The article in PDF format is available here.
Abstract
In the Republic of Djibouti (East Africa), pastoralism, which was predominant at the time of the country’s creation (at the end of the 19th century), has significantly declined. It now concerns less than a quarter of the country’s one million inhabitants. This way of life is being challenged by changes that are not solely due to the recurrent droughts affecting the Horn of Africa. This article focuses on populations who still consider themselves nomadic and their adaptation to the effects of structural and worsening aridity. To that end, a survey was conducted among 107 nomadic households in three regions in the south of the country. The survey results reveal that, to a large extent, nomadic resilience is severely weakened by the gradual decline of their production systems. Their survival therefore depends entirely on their integration into the urban economy. Although the influence of cities on nomads is not new, we show that these populations are now completely dependent on urban actors, even though, for the time being, they resist their urban transition.
Key words: Djibouti, environment, nomad, vulnerability